Louis Gossett Jr
Well-known member
- Joined
- Sep 4, 2012
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Its crazy that people really dont grasp the concept of temporal associated factors. States decide ok everyone can go to a crowded bar, people get infected, there is no set timepoint but assume averages you are looking at onset of symptom in 5 days, you wait to get tested two days or so and its now a week since infection. Your results come back in 2 days and are then reported on the following day or two. So its been 9-11 days since infection. If you are sick enough you go to the hospital at now almost two weeks since infection, you have a bad outcome and enter the ICU, possible death average 3 weeks since infection.
This is if you ever were sick enough to show symptoms, you were young and less at risk that's why you were at the bar. You got infected but its asymptomatic or very mild, you see your parents the following weekend, you infected them and everything above is shifted another week. The things that are reported now are from choices made at the beginning of June everything is a lagging indicator. Its a huge mess because by the time you realize there is a problem you are 2-3 weeks too late and will need to overcome that just to get back to the beginning. So if you change policies now look towards the middle of July for relief.
This is if you ever were sick enough to show symptoms, you were young and less at risk that's why you were at the bar. You got infected but its asymptomatic or very mild, you see your parents the following weekend, you infected them and everything above is shifted another week. The things that are reported now are from choices made at the beginning of June everything is a lagging indicator. Its a huge mess because by the time you realize there is a problem you are 2-3 weeks too late and will need to overcome that just to get back to the beginning. So if you change policies now look towards the middle of July for relief.