Olympics will kill a lot of news. Trump should have hoped they happened two weeks ago.
Rich people have accountants that exempt their income. Tax rate on the rich doesn't matter, we need to trim the code and stop our thousands of special breaks on the right and left. Repatriating money on a one time thing is something all three parties agree on, bring it home for 10 percent or less now and put it in U.S. investment. Talk about a stimulus. HRC, Trump, and Johnson would all sign this bill - if it was a one time thing.
Free trade means free labor. We need ID cards to allow our free trade partners and us to exchange workers and be sure they A) aren't terrorists and B) pay taxes. 35 percent tariffs in place of our deals are only paid by consumers, not corporations thanks to who has the access and resources for better lobbyists, lawyers and accountants. Johnson/Weld, 2016.
Hillary currently favored to win every swing state. 34% chance to win Georgia and even a 21% to win South Carolina (!!!).
I've had 45 as a decent over/under for percent of the vote for Trump. Past couple of weeks has Trump failing to crack 40 in nine of the last ten polls aggregated on RCP (average of 36.5 and down by over 7 percent to Clinton). What do you guys think is a good over/under for Trump's share of the popular vote?
Also, may start posting the 538 odds on here on a somewhat regular basis:
Now-cast (odds to win if election were today): Hillary (96.4%)
Polls Only (current polling plus trends towards election day): Hillary (87.5%)
Polls-Plus (best model, polling plus trends plus demographics): Hillary (79.5%)
All three of these are the best odds Hillary has had all election cycle.
Projected popular vote from polls-plus: Clinton 49.0%-44.4% Trump (Johnson 5.3%)
Electoral College projection from polls-plus: Clinton 324.4-213.5 Trump
Hillary currently favored to win every swing state. 34% chance to win Georgia and even a 21% to win South Carolina (!!!).
Can you imagine if Obama was allowed to seek a third term and got to run against Trump? Is there a state that wouldn't be in play?
41% think that Hillary is THE DEVIL?!?!?!
I mean what the fuck.