I mean we are 4-1 so far. If we're saying that 14-6 is the record we need to hit, that means we have 5 more losses that we can comfortably take (as long as it's not to the worst teams in the ACC). There's only two games on our schedule that Torvik assesses as below 35% win probability (at UNC and at Duke). That means that we can lose three toss up games along the way and still be completely fine. Tonight is one of those games that wouldn't kill us to lose.
Now this is a thought I can get behind.
To some degree yes. FSU at least is top 100 in metrics and a Q2 loss. For ND to be a Q2 loss even on the road they still need to move up 22 more spots. They are at least way up from their bottom 2/3 power conference team status.
Trouble with that is GT has played some good ball - twice against Duke, and now ND is playing competitive ball after sucking all Nov-Dec. Easiest game might be UVA. The way it's gone lately, I expect VT to take them out here tomorrow. Lunardi's latest has us and Miami as the last 4 in currently.
I understand that UVA has struggled recently and ND has improved, but there's absolutely no world in which a road game at UVA can currently be considered an easier game than a road game at ND.
