Perhaps the bigger lesson from these polls is the utter loss of what was supposed to be the silver bullet for DeSantis:
electability. Fresh off a resounding 2022 reelection win in a midterm campaign that was bad for Republicans and worse for Trump, the argument was right there for the making. But it has vanished.
The Fox News poll is one of the first to test not just a Trump versus
President Biden matchup or even a DeSantis versus Biden matchup, but to pit all the top Republican candidates against the incumbent president. And of the seven? DeSantis actually fares the worst. Here is how that looks:
- Donald Trump +2
- Nikki Haley +2
- Mike Pence +1
- Vivek Ramaswamy +1
- Chris Christie -1
- Tim Scott -1
- Ron DeSantis -3
CNN also recently tested the same seven matchups. While DeSantis was closer to his competition, he
performed worse than all except Ramaswamy. These are small margin-of-error differences. But the polls test the same universe of voters and compare how the candidates perform. In both, DeSantis fails to match the performance of his fellow Republicans despite having superior name recognition to all but Trump.
In the Fox News poll, Biden takes 42 to 44 percent of the vote when the alternative is not Trump or DeSantis, but 47 percent when it is DeSantis. A big reason for that? DeSantis has badly marginalized himself. While running hard to the right on issues such as
vaccines and by using violent
rhetoric, he has clearly and unambiguously
alienated middle-of-the-road voters.