From BP
2. Tommy Joseph, San Francisco Giants
Tommy Joseph isn't a blue-chip prospect, and for that reason, he'll likely stand out from the other prospects selected by the Baseball Prospectus crew for inclusion in this week's Lineup Card article. Joseph failed to land on our very own Kevin Goldstein's Top 101 Prospects list. Kevin wasn't the only prospect guru to exclude Joseph from his top prospect rankings, as he also missed Baseball America's Top 100 Prospects list and didn't make the cut for Keith Law's Top 100 Prospects list, either. That's not to say he's a bad prospect; he landed at fifth on the Giants Top 11 here at BP, Baseball America ranked him second in the organization in the 2012 Prospect Handbook, John Sickels of Minor League Ball ranked him third amongst Giants prospects back in January, and Jason Parks ranked him as the third-best Giants prospect in his running What Could Go Wrong in 2012 series.
I chose Joseph as the prospect that most interested me in the minors for a few reasons, the first being that he's a Giant, and as a fan of the team, that makes him stand out a bit from the pack. I also chose him because he's a unique prospect to the organization. The Giants are often lauded for their ability to develop power arms, and for good reason, given their recent track record. They haven't been able to develop that same type of firepower for the lineup. That's not to say they haven't developed quality hitters—Pablo Sandoval and Buster Posey are doing just fine thank you—but they haven't developed a true masher in quite some time. One possible, if not probable, contributing factor is their choosing not to spend many picks in the first couple of rounds of the draft over the last decade on a player that projects to be a slugger. In fact, one could argue Joseph is the only player they've spent that high a pick on in the last decade with that profile.
With the days of multiple 50-home-run hitters a season a thing of the past, power is at a premium to a certain extent, and the Giants’ ability to develop Joseph could yield a cost-controlled bopper. As Kevin and Jason discussed on a recent Up and In Podcast (Episode 95), it is highly unlikely everything will come together and result in a middle-of-the-order bat, and a more likely projection is that of a low-average power hitter that slots sixth in a lineup. That shouldn't be read as a slight, as few prospects do have it all come together, and if Joseph hits his more likely projection, Giants fans should be pleased. If his bat hits that projection and he's able to remain behind the plate, all the better, as that's a package most teams would gladly sign up for. His stats aren't anything special this season, but as a 20-year-old in Double-A, they aren't especially troubling, either. I'll be closely monitoring his development and hoping for the best. —Josh Shepardson