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The 2016 Panthers Thread: Keep Pounding

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1/14. Pittsburgh Steelers:
2/25. Cincinnati Bengals:
3/2. San Francisco 49ers:
4/9. Seattle Seahawks:
5/26. Arizona Cardinals:
6/8. St. Louis Rams:
7/10. Oakland Raiders:
8/21. Kansas City Chiefs:
9/4. Cleveland Browns:
10/17. Denver Broncos:
11/12. Baltimore Ravens:
12/15. Minnesota Vikings:
13/1. Chicago Bears:
14/5. Green Bay Packers:
15/3. Detroit Lions:
16/7. San Diego Chargers:
17/29. Miami Dolphins:
18/31. New York Jets:
19/11. Buffalo Bills:
20/30. Washington Redskins:
21/19. New York Giants:
22/27. New England Patriots:
23/13. Philadelphia Eagles:
24/6. Dallas Cowboys:
25/28. Jacksonville Jaguars:
26/22. Tennessee Titans:
27/32. Carolina Panthers:
28/16. New Orleans Saints:
29/23. Tampa Bay Buccaneers:
30/20. Houston Texans:
31/18. Indianapolis Colts:
32/24. Atlanta Falcons:

Pre-season/Final SOS ranking. Seems to be pretty much all over the place. Average difference in preseason ranking and final season ranking is 9 spots.
(*All rankings are dependent on what parameters were use)

Average record of top 16 SOS- 8-8
Average record of bottom 16 SOS- 8-8
 
I've said it before and I'll say it again. We were lucky to be 15 - 1, but we would have had to have been pretty damn unlucky to be worse than 13 - 3 or maybe 12 - 4.
 
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Yeah seeing that we ended the season with what was considered the easiest schedule in the league is slightly worrisome on first glance, but then you realize we contributed to 15 of those losses. Why don't they figure that by eliminating the team's record against the schedule? (or do they do that?)

I will say the schedule is so much more difficult next season. Like someone pointed out, we'll be playing some much better defenses, the west coast travel will be rough, and AFC West and NFC West is probably the most difficult draw you can get for the two conferences. But, we should still be in good position to handle the division.
 
If there is one takeaway from last season, it's that no one has a fucking clue about how strong the schedules will be until about week 8/9. We had one of the toughest SOS last year before the season started and by the end the line was "they haven't played anyone" and we had 15 wins. The majority of teams in the league are fairly close in terms of talent, it comes down to injuries, chemistry, and matchups.
 
If there is one takeaway from last season, it's that no one has a fucking clue about how strong the schedules will be until about week 8/9. We had one of the toughest SOS last year before the season started and by the end the line was "they haven't played anyone" and we had 15 wins. The majority of teams in the league are fairly close in terms of talent, it comes down to injuries, chemistry, and matchups.

Pre-season strength of schedule was 27th, finished 32nd?
 
I'm picturing us winning the NFC at GB next year. They get the cake NFC East/AFC South setup we got this so no surprise to see them DFL from an SOS standpoint
 
No doubt we had a favorable schedule, but we also beat the shit out of teams we played, with a regular season point differential of 192 points. The team in second finished with a +176, and we beat them 49-15 in the conference finals. We might have lost a couple more games with a harder schedule, but there was nothing fluky about the 2015 panthers. We lose exactly zero key players for 2016, and gain an actual NFL no. 1 WR. We'll be fine. Anybody expecting a regression probably didn't watch many of our games last year.
 
I mean the idea is that there will be a regression to the mean, which doesn't mean bad just not 15-1. Continued success doesn't always look like a buzz saw through a weak ass schedule but something like 12-4 or 13-3. For example arguably the most successful team over the last 15 years is the Patriots and over that time frame the record has fluctuated between 16-0 and 9-7, with an average loss of 3.8 a year.
 
The one perk of playing a tougher schedule is that hopefully we can issue a loss to our primary contenders at the top of the NFC in Arizona and Seattle. Those will be HUGE games.
 
True.....but I think Williams would have taken Remmers spot if he had been healthy

We just need some hog mollies in the draft, I'd take like five linemen and a safety

Don't forget signing Foucault from the practice squad. Looked lost when he played but has physical attributes. Must have potential for the Panthers to keep him around this long.
 
If there is one takeaway from last season, it's that no one has a fucking clue about how strong the schedules will be until about week 8/9. We had one of the toughest SOS last year before the season started and by the end the line was "they haven't played anyone" and we had 15 wins. The majority of teams in the league are fairly close in terms of talent, it comes down to injuries, chemistry, and matchups.

Someone else made a good point on here too when the "they've only played 4 teams with a .500 record or better" by responding "well we inflicted a loss on every single team we played in the regular season so there would have been more .500 or above teams we faced if we had lost to some of them."
 
2016 strength of schedule for each NFL team (Combined 2015 record of all 16 opponents, combined winning percentage)

T-1. San Francisco 49ers: 142-114, .555

T-1. Atlanta Falcons: 142-114, .555

3. Los Angeles Rams: 141-115, .551

4. New Orleans Saints: 140-116, .547

T-5. Seattle Seahawks: 139-117, .543

T-5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 139-117, .543

T-7. Arizona Cardinals: 136-120, .531

T-7. New York Jets: 136-120, .531

9. New England Patriots: 134-122, .523

10. Buffalo Bills: 133-123, .520

11. Miami Dolphins: 132-124, .516

12. Carolina Panthers: 131-125, .512

13. San Diego Chargers: 130-126, .508

14. Denver Broncos: 129-127, .504

15. Oakland Raiders: 128-128, .500

16. Kansas City Chiefs: 127-129, .496

17. Washington Redskins: 126-130, .492

18. Minnesota Vikings: 125-131, .488

T-19. Houston Texans: 124-132, .484

T-19. Baltimore Ravens: 124-132, .484

21. Cleveland Browns: 123-133, .480

22. Indianapolis Colts: 122-134, .477

T-23. Pittsburgh Steelers: 121-135, .473

T-23. Tennessee Titans: 121-135, .473

T-23. Jacksonville Jaguars: 121-135, .473

26. Philadelphia Eagles: 120-136, .469

T-27. Cincinnati Bengals: 119-137, .465

T-27. Detroit Lions: 119-137, .465

T-27. Dallas Cowboys: 119-137, .465

T-30. Chicago Bears: 118-138, .461

T-30. New York Giants: 118-138, .461

32. Green Bay Packers: 117-139, .457

Sub in a 8-8 team for 15-1 and the 49ers opponents are 135-121. Sub in another 8-8 team for Arizona (13-3) and they drop to 130-126. Right in the middle of the league. Every one of those teams at the top has a "tough schedule" because they play Carolina and Arizona. Otherwise their schedule is completely average.

Mind you, I'm not disputing that 2 losses will hurt their records....but that still is just 2 games and everyone in the NFC South and NFC West have to play both teams, so it's completely meaningless from a division title standpoint.
 
I'm just going to watch football to determine who the best teams are next year.
 
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I saw we are currently something like 27 mil under the salary cap for next year. Plenty of options with that kind of $$
 
And once we figure something out with CJ it'll be an extra $10M. J-No and (probably) Short will get their $$ but we should still have some left to make some moves
 
Any chance we let Big Money go?
 
A chance, but I think he'd be down for whatever restructure we come up with. Highly doubtful he'd be able to get something better on the open market at this point in his career.

We gotta pay him $4M next year regardless so I'd think we'd probably keep him around
 
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