sailordeac
Well-known member
As soon as his security forces have taken control, Vlad the Invader will recommend an internationally supervised plebiscite on the future and independence of the Crimea. The result is a foregone conclusion. Other heavily Russian parts of Ukraine will also in the years to come organize such plebiscites on independence with predictable results. These newly independent states will join a federation with Russia and receive Russian militarty protection.
The western, non-Russian dominated part of Ukraine will eventually join the European Union and also NATO. This all appears pretty much inevitable, and there is little the West will be able, or have the stomach, or interest, to do about it.
What will the West say? It's OK for the Scots and the Catalans to vote on seccession and independence but not the Russian dominated parts of Ukraine? It's OK to have parts of the former Yugoslavia leave and form independent countries but not for the Crimea and other parts of Ukraine? It's OK for the Czechs and the Slovaks to break up but not Crimea and the Ukraine? And of course there is the common Eastern-Western-Ukrainian interest in keeping the oil and gas flowing. The break-up of Ukraine appears to have become inevitable.
The western, non-Russian dominated part of Ukraine will eventually join the European Union and also NATO. This all appears pretty much inevitable, and there is little the West will be able, or have the stomach, or interest, to do about it.
What will the West say? It's OK for the Scots and the Catalans to vote on seccession and independence but not the Russian dominated parts of Ukraine? It's OK to have parts of the former Yugoslavia leave and form independent countries but not for the Crimea and other parts of Ukraine? It's OK for the Czechs and the Slovaks to break up but not Crimea and the Ukraine? And of course there is the common Eastern-Western-Ukrainian interest in keeping the oil and gas flowing. The break-up of Ukraine appears to have become inevitable.