Although there is some hope for 2018, I think the Senate will stay at 51-49 (likely losses in AL and IN and picking up 2 of 3 of NV, AZ, TN). The top contenders to run against Tester and Heidkamp are out. Due to the outrageous gerrymandering and being an off year election, winning the House is more difficult. The average turn of 32 House seats will be a reach because of that.
If the Dems don't win 2018, 2020 may be a better year. According to the CBO, about 19 million Americans will lose their health insurance in 2019. They won't be happy with Trump or Congressional Republicans. Due to losing the mandate, premiums will go up. Even if they only go up 10% more than normal, it would much more than eat up all of the "tax cut" millions of American families making under $200,000/year will have hoped to get.
Add to that, the Congress is getting rid of coverage for insurance. In some states, even things like ER will be add-ons. This will make keeping the same coverage more expensive.
Further, 2020 is a turnout year for Dems versus them not being good in off years.
I'd love to believe a huge wave is coming 2018, but I think 2020 may be the year.
If the Dems don't win 2018, 2020 may be a better year. According to the CBO, about 19 million Americans will lose their health insurance in 2019. They won't be happy with Trump or Congressional Republicans. Due to losing the mandate, premiums will go up. Even if they only go up 10% more than normal, it would much more than eat up all of the "tax cut" millions of American families making under $200,000/year will have hoped to get.
Add to that, the Congress is getting rid of coverage for insurance. In some states, even things like ER will be add-ons. This will make keeping the same coverage more expensive.
Further, 2020 is a turnout year for Dems versus them not being good in off years.
I'd love to believe a huge wave is coming 2018, but I think 2020 may be the year.