Highland Deac
Well-known member
- Joined
- Nov 26, 2012
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I don’t think it’s inevitable. If there is a blue wave, Dems will redraw gerrymandered districts. A lot of typical Pub BS in traditional and social media. won’t work anymore. Tea Party type movements won’t be treated as legitimate grassroots organizing. There will be some losses due to normal backlash. But the 2022 senate map is horrible for Republicans. The Dem incumbents are from very blue states and Republicans will be trying to hold swing states and emerging purple states like FL, NC, SC, GA, AZ, WI, IA, and PA.
While there's no doubt that Democrats have taken a beating at the polls in the first off-year elections after the last two Democrats were elected POTUS (94 after Bill's first election in 92, 2010 after Obama's first election in 2008) it may be different this time for the two reasons you mentioned. If the Democrats pick up a good number of state legislatures and governorships next month as they seem likely to do, they will get to draw most of the House districts around the country for 2022, which will likely limit their losses in the House, and in the Senate the map is terrible for Republicans in 2022, which will also likely limit GOP gains, if they make any. Also, at some point the Democratic base has got to learn that if they don't turn out in off-year elections, simply holding the executive branch won't be enough to accomplish much of anything.