I'm not sure why we would assume Wake is in a better place than NCSU at this moment. Objectively, we hope to make 1 tourney in the past 7 seasons, while state (barring a tourney championship) will have made 2. State has had a winning record in 6 of 7 seasons (including the current one) while Wake has a wining record in 3 seasons. State won 20 games in at least 4 of those 7 seasons (20 games this year is not mathematically impossible, but would be a stretch), while Wake (hopefully
) will have 2 20-win seasons after this season is over. And State will most likely hire a new coach after this season, which at least conceivably raises the chance of hiring a great coach. And the fact that State will most likely be hiring a new coach goes to show how the fanbase feels about the program.
As I posted a while back, my concern is that Forbes ends up with a program that looks a lot like State- competitive in most seasons, half-decent in a few, but never actually GOOD. State fans are completely demoralized because they had a coach who was just good enough not to fire. While that is better than having a bottom of the barrel program, it still isn't much fun.
I have reason to hope that Forbes will be better than Keatts. But I will also say I don't recall a season where I thought Keatts had as much talent as this Wake team (and arguably as much as the 2022 team), so the fact that he has 2 tourney bids and Forbes has zero at Wake doesn't fill me with confidence.