Pilchard
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Fresh-off the nine-day CBB All-Star Break, the Deacs head to Western PA to face the Panthers. Here is the skinny on Pitt:
2024 Season: 12-8 (3-6) #71. Pitt started this season out #62 (WF was #73), and the Panthers started the season blowing out 4 horrid teams to jump to #40. Pitt soon wilted once the schedule stiffened (lost by 15 to #35 Florida, lost by 7 to #113 Mizzou, lost by 9 to #29 Clemson, lost twice to #79 Cuse, lost by 13 to #6 UNC, lost by 22 to #14 Duke, and most recently lost by 4 at #66 Miami). The Panthers did claim its best win of the season 10 days ago with a 4 point victory at Duke (the Devils were missing Jeremy Roach and Mark Mitchell). In total, Pitt is a dreadful 1-7 against top 100 teams, including an 0-4 home mark against top 100 teams. In sum, Pitt is 1-8 against teams rated in top #113, and 11-0 against teams rated #134 and below. That said, the Panthers played its best ball over its recent 3 game road trip:
Analytics (ranks are among the 15 ACC games, based on conference games only):
WF Offense ------------- Pitt Defense
Eff.: 109 #4 -------------- 110 #11
Eff. FG%: 53 #4 ---------- 53 #11
TO% 16#10 --------------- 17 #6
3 PT% 40 #1 ------------- 37# 12
2 PT% 49 #9 ------------- 51 #10
Pitt Offense ------------- WF Defense
Eff. 103 #10 ------------ 102 #7
Eff. FG%: 48 #12 ------- 49 #5
TO%: 15 #5 ------------ 15 #10
3 PT%: 33 #10 --------- 35 #8
2 PT%: 46 #13 --------- 48 #4
Other stats to note: the Panthers are the worst FT% team in the conference (65%; WF is the 2nd best 82%). Pitt is tall #7 in the nation in effective height. Pitt is highly reliant on the three 38% of their offense comes from threes (3rd highest in the ACC); in Pitt's three ACC wins, they a collective 41% from three; in their 5 losses, Pitt shot collectively below 30% from three.
The Roster:
Against Miami, Pitt started:
6-3 1st year Jaland Lowe: started the last 6 games, and has found his groove averaging 14 ppg as a starter; shooting 38% from three against ACC teams; 2nd on team in assists
6-5 1st year Carlton Carrington: top 100 recruit; started from day 1 as a frosh; 2nd on team in scoring 13 ppg; 1st in assists and TOs 39% from three
6-7 3rd year Zack Austin: High Point transfer (from Winston), 7 ppg; 4 rpg; 27% from three;
6-8 4th year Blake Hinson: Ole Miss transfer in 2022; leads in points (18 ppg) and minutes (32); high volume three point shooter; has shot 9 or more threes in a game eleven times; has scored 20 or more nine times; had 24 points in last years win over WF (all threes)
6-11 2nd year Federiko Federiko: limited offensively (no threes on the season; 5 ppg); skinny
Bench: Pitt played 7 players against Miami: their main weapon off the bench is 6-3 Ish Leggett (Rhode Island transfer; started most of the season; 12 ppg; 24% from three); also, 7-0 Guillermo Diaz Graham (8 ppg; 5 rpg; 37% from three) splits time at center with double Federiko.
The Projection:
KP: 73-72 Pitt
Torvik: 71-70 Pitt
Well, was feely pretty strong about WF chances until this news hit the twitter-sphere this morning:
Naturally, need to know who is out and who is limited for WF to make a game projection, but Pitt should be an inviting target for a rested WF team that desperately needs to enhance its record. WIll update when more is known.
2024 Season: 12-8 (3-6) #71. Pitt started this season out #62 (WF was #73), and the Panthers started the season blowing out 4 horrid teams to jump to #40. Pitt soon wilted once the schedule stiffened (lost by 15 to #35 Florida, lost by 7 to #113 Mizzou, lost by 9 to #29 Clemson, lost twice to #79 Cuse, lost by 13 to #6 UNC, lost by 22 to #14 Duke, and most recently lost by 4 at #66 Miami). The Panthers did claim its best win of the season 10 days ago with a 4 point victory at Duke (the Devils were missing Jeremy Roach and Mark Mitchell). In total, Pitt is a dreadful 1-7 against top 100 teams, including an 0-4 home mark against top 100 teams. In sum, Pitt is 1-8 against teams rated in top #113, and 11-0 against teams rated #134 and below. That said, the Panthers played its best ball over its recent 3 game road trip:
- W 80-76 @ Duke
- W 72-64 @ GT
- L 72-68 @ Miami (the Canes did lead 60-41 with less than 10 minutes to go before Pitt rallied)
Analytics (ranks are among the 15 ACC games, based on conference games only):
WF Offense ------------- Pitt Defense
Eff.: 109 #4 -------------- 110 #11
Eff. FG%: 53 #4 ---------- 53 #11
TO% 16#10 --------------- 17 #6
3 PT% 40 #1 ------------- 37# 12
2 PT% 49 #9 ------------- 51 #10
Pitt Offense ------------- WF Defense
Eff. 103 #10 ------------ 102 #7
Eff. FG%: 48 #12 ------- 49 #5
TO%: 15 #5 ------------ 15 #10
3 PT%: 33 #10 --------- 35 #8
2 PT%: 46 #13 --------- 48 #4
Other stats to note: the Panthers are the worst FT% team in the conference (65%; WF is the 2nd best 82%). Pitt is tall #7 in the nation in effective height. Pitt is highly reliant on the three 38% of their offense comes from threes (3rd highest in the ACC); in Pitt's three ACC wins, they a collective 41% from three; in their 5 losses, Pitt shot collectively below 30% from three.
The Roster:
Against Miami, Pitt started:
6-3 1st year Jaland Lowe: started the last 6 games, and has found his groove averaging 14 ppg as a starter; shooting 38% from three against ACC teams; 2nd on team in assists
6-5 1st year Carlton Carrington: top 100 recruit; started from day 1 as a frosh; 2nd on team in scoring 13 ppg; 1st in assists and TOs 39% from three
6-7 3rd year Zack Austin: High Point transfer (from Winston), 7 ppg; 4 rpg; 27% from three;
6-8 4th year Blake Hinson: Ole Miss transfer in 2022; leads in points (18 ppg) and minutes (32); high volume three point shooter; has shot 9 or more threes in a game eleven times; has scored 20 or more nine times; had 24 points in last years win over WF (all threes)
6-11 2nd year Federiko Federiko: limited offensively (no threes on the season; 5 ppg); skinny
Bench: Pitt played 7 players against Miami: their main weapon off the bench is 6-3 Ish Leggett (Rhode Island transfer; started most of the season; 12 ppg; 24% from three); also, 7-0 Guillermo Diaz Graham (8 ppg; 5 rpg; 37% from three) splits time at center with double Federiko.
The Projection:
KP: 73-72 Pitt
Torvik: 71-70 Pitt
Well, was feely pretty strong about WF chances until this news hit the twitter-sphere this morning:
Naturally, need to know who is out and who is limited for WF to make a game projection, but Pitt should be an inviting target for a rested WF team that desperately needs to enhance its record. WIll update when more is known.
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