Pilchard
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WF waited 30 games to finally play Cuse. Now, the Deacs face the Orange in back to back games. Here is the link to the previous scouting report on the Orange .
On Saturday, WF lost 72-63.
Some game notes:
The palpable impact on the loss of Damari Monsanto (get ready for some stark/nauseating numbers):
Unstoppable with ACC's best three point shooter in over a decade:
From December 20 (the home Duke win) through February (the loss at NC State), WF's adjusted offensive rating over a 17 game stretch against ACC teams was an elite 118.1. Of the 363 D1 teams, during that 17 game stretch, WF offense was rated #8 in the country and was essentially tied with Miami for the best offense in the ACC.
Impotent without the ACC's best three point shooter:
Since Monsanto was lost on Feb 22 (three games -- ND, BC, @Cuse -- not exactly elite defensive teams), WF's offensive rating dropped to 95.8 -- #301 in the country (yikes), and get ready for this... DFL in the ACC. Yes, since February 22, every ACC team, including Louisville, FSU and BC have been more efficient on offense than WF (granted its only a 3 game sample, but that is an incredible offensive efficiency drop due to the loss of one player). Hard to argue with the following:
On February 22, WF lost its most important offensive player, and instead of the best ACC offense, WF now has the worst.
Given those numbers, really hard to back WF on Wednesday (and we are intentionally ignoring WF horrific recent ACCT record). Predictably (for anyone paying attention), the loss of Monsanto has led to three easy "under" covers. While its hard to take an under in any game involving no-defense Cuse, if the total is anything close to the mid 150 projections, under has to be the play again. With Damari, WF can outscore every ACC team. Without him, not sure WF can outscore any ACC team. Fearing another early exit for our Deacs.... Gag.
On Saturday, WF lost 72-63.
Some game notes:
- Defense dominated (the game went under by 19 points):
- In 72 possessions, WF had its worst offensive efficiency rating, .88 (points per possession) since losing at Rutgers on December 17. Rutgers is the #4 defensive team in the country; Syracuse is one of the worst in a power conference (#193 - 12th in the ACC)
- Cuse didn't have a great offensive game either: 1.005 (ppp), their 5th worst of Cuse's 20 ACC games. WF is not a great defensive team either (#155 - 9th in the ACC)
- Too many Appleby TOs: 7 TOs; WF gave up 13 steals (18% of WF's offensive possessions resulted in a steal; WF average giving up 9% on the season); got to better passing the ball around the zone)
- WF shot 67% from two (14 for 21), but a miserable 10 for 39 (25.6%) from three; perhaps a taking almost twice as many threes as twos is not the best offensive plan;
- As a result of the over-emphasis on threes, WF shot only 6 FTs; Cuse shot 24 FTs
- Cuse sucked from three too (2-14 - 14%)
- Cuse grabbed 16 offensive boards (37%); WF only snatched 9 offensive boards (25%); this is just a weak performance on the boards as opponents have killed Cuse on the offensive boards all year
The palpable impact on the loss of Damari Monsanto (get ready for some stark/nauseating numbers):
Unstoppable with ACC's best three point shooter in over a decade:
From December 20 (the home Duke win) through February (the loss at NC State), WF's adjusted offensive rating over a 17 game stretch against ACC teams was an elite 118.1. Of the 363 D1 teams, during that 17 game stretch, WF offense was rated #8 in the country and was essentially tied with Miami for the best offense in the ACC.
Impotent without the ACC's best three point shooter:
Since Monsanto was lost on Feb 22 (three games -- ND, BC, @Cuse -- not exactly elite defensive teams), WF's offensive rating dropped to 95.8 -- #301 in the country (yikes), and get ready for this... DFL in the ACC. Yes, since February 22, every ACC team, including Louisville, FSU and BC have been more efficient on offense than WF (granted its only a 3 game sample, but that is an incredible offensive efficiency drop due to the loss of one player). Hard to argue with the following:
On February 22, WF lost its most important offensive player, and instead of the best ACC offense, WF now has the worst.
Given those numbers, really hard to back WF on Wednesday (and we are intentionally ignoring WF horrific recent ACCT record). Predictably (for anyone paying attention), the loss of Monsanto has led to three easy "under" covers. While its hard to take an under in any game involving no-defense Cuse, if the total is anything close to the mid 150 projections, under has to be the play again. With Damari, WF can outscore every ACC team. Without him, not sure WF can outscore any ACC team. Fearing another early exit for our Deacs.... Gag.
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