I tend to agree, but I’m curious to see how they get there. Some of the arguments from the dissents won’t work because they are Colorado state law issues that the Colorado Supreme Court has final say on.
A way to get there without creating real precedent for the future seems to be hold that what Trump did wasn’t engaging in an insurrection for purposes of Sec 3 of the 14th Amendment (not sure exactly how that plays out - do they say a person need to be convicted of an insurrection to be disqualified or do they say that this wasn’t an insurrection and leave it at that (query: if this wasn’t, then what the hell is)?).
I don’t think SCOTUS is going to want to hold that Sec 3 doesn’t apply to POTUS (that seems like a really shitty argument to me - how can POTUS not be an officer under the United States?) or that the POTUS oath isn’t an oath to support the constitution (though this actually seems like at least a non-frivolous legal argument - probably not to the layperson, but rules of construction, etc.) or that Sec 3 isn’t self-executing, unlike virtually all of the other parts of the reconstruction amendments.