Bottom line is anyone who doesn't believe the 2024 Prez election is not going to be competitive race, even if douche bag Trump runs in prison garb, is kidding themselves.
The primary reason may be is that it will be the lowest turnout in a Prez election ever, especially in the 18-29 voter category. It's estimated the 50% of young people between 18-29 voted in the 2020 election. That was an 11% increase over the 2016 election. Apathy may cause this number to fall below 30% in 2024 which is not good for Biden. His victory in 2020 was powered by young voters especially youth of color.