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Midterm election predictions

Who will win Congress?

  • Dems retain House & Senate

    Votes: 2 3.6%

  • Dems win House / Pubs win Senate

    Votes: 2 3.6%

  • Pubs win House / Dems win Senate

    Votes: 22 40.0%

  • Pubs win House & Senate

    Votes: 29 52.7%
  • Total voters
    55
  • Poll closed .
Juice, being down on the current status quo is fine. But it's lazy to reduce the status quo to "two-party system" without accounting for all the other factors that make up the status quo. The American historical context is the background for what we have and what we will have. You can't ignore that and just claim a multiparty system will solve it.

I don't know what to think about your last sentence. I'm doing the opposite. I'm pointing out what is unique about American politics and American history and criticizing the idea that you can just shoehorn other forms of government into it.
 
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Doesn't matter. It will just get challenged up to the USSC again and then the logic will shift from "its a state thing" to some other bullshit. I honestly think the abortion ship has sailed until the makeup of the court changes, or an amendment can be passed which is impossible anymore.
 
Liquid Karma said:
Doesn't matter. It will just get challenged up to the USSC again and then the logic will shift from "its a state thing" to some other bullshit. I honestly think the abortion ship has sailed until the makeup of the court changes, or an amendment can be passed which is impossible anymore.
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In theory, that same Congress would have more voted to expand the court. In practice, I don't trust them to follow through on either codifying Roe or court expansion.
 
I hadn't considered that, but it seems the only way Roe is codified permanently is in conjunction with court packing.
 
Seems like a bad sign if Biden is going to NY on Sun for a rally
 
Maybe it's a good thing. Got to get news coverage (But I say that as a right winger compared to the crowd here)
 
Strickland33 said:
I’ve been wanting to study this but I think there’s some p(oll) hacking going on this cycle
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I expect both sides are doing this to drum up donations and also keep hope alive so their voters actually go and vote. Mostly to drum up donations.
 
It’s all part of a plan to delegitimize Democrat wins. They if Dems outperform these polls, Republicans can say “but the polls!!!!”
 
birdman said:
I expect both sides are doing this to drum up donations and also keep hope alive so their voters actually go and vote. Mostly to drum up donations.
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Regardless of the motive, it's all pretty gross. Political elections shouldn't be sports, but here we are...
 
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Why is President Biden stumping in a state that is an easy win (CA) taking a position on an issue that could piss off voters in a pivotal state (PA) only days before a very tight election? Obviously won't matter for WV, but has to register in PA.
 
Liquid Karma said:
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Why is President Biden stumping in a state that is an easy win (CA) taking a position on an issue that could piss off voters in a pivotal state (PA) only days before a very tight election? Obviously won't matter for WV, but has to register in PA.
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Because some of those CA districts are swing districts, and some of them might be on fire due to climate change? Perhaps he could have phrased it better, but I'm more worried about what Manchin thinks "learn a lesson" entails.
 
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