so i got bored last night after the thrilling victory. decided to completely waste my time on something that means absolutely nothing - but i would do it again (have before). ha. no clue why i'm posting it either.
i charted wake forest basketball over the last 20 years (excluded forbes first year due to pandemic) as if it were a stock. started at $100 per share and adjusted on a per game basis. i used kenpom ratings with quadrant definitions (since the net is new). so a top 30 kenpom home game would be quad one and so forth on rest of the quad definitions.
i then included scoring margin and gave each result a percentage gain/loss. a 20+point quad one victory would get a 5% gain, while a 20+ point quad four loss would have a 5% loss (different "returns" for everything in between - those were the two extremes).
from a peak of $965.71 per share after beating Clemson at home in Dino's final year, buzzdick turned that into $384.88 per share after losing to Pitt in the ACC Tournament (his last game). mannequin said hold my beer and after losing to Pitt in his final game, the share price was $263.41
buzzdicks first two years were atrocious (shocker). rock bottom (or max drawdown from 2010 peak) was losing at home to Georgia Tech (86-79) in mannequins final season.
buzzdick and mannequin didn't have a single 20+ point quad one victory (5% gain) but had several bad losses (ie - losing by 28 to a 10-21 arizona st team)
i have another that excludes margin of victory/defeat (straight quad win/loss) and forbes tenure shows a much larger bounce than this one because the drawdown wasn't as severe. reason being not only were mannequin and buzzdick losing, they were losing by big margins. for example, during a five game losing streak in buzzdicks first year wake lost by an average of 25.6 points per game. not be outdone, during a 1-4 stretch for mannequin (where they did beat pitt by only two) in the four losses wake lost by an average of 28.8 points
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